Does Hillary's Silence on Iran Deal Show Neocon Pull on Her Presidential Run?

People have noticed the silence of former Secretary of State and widely presumed 2016 Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton on the Iran nuclear deal negotiated by President Obama and Secretary of State Kerry. Where does she stand? How long can she dodge? And how long can former President Bill Clinton dodge?

It's not like the Clintons have gone into seclusion on public affairs in general or U.S. foreign policy in particular.

The Hill reports that Hillary is urging Congress not to cut U.S. aid to the Afghan government as U.S. forces withdraw from Afghanistan. In early September, Hillary issued a statementsupporting President Obama's effort to seek authorization from Congress for bombing Syria. Then she welcomed Russia's proposal that Syria place its chemical weapons under international control.

Neither has Bill been shy about sharing his opinions on public affairs. Just a few weeks ago, Bill told an interviewer that President Obama should "honor the commitment the federal government made" and let people keep insurance policies they have, even if those policies don't meet the coverage standards of the Affordable Care Act. And, notoriously, when the Bush Administration was campaigning for the war in Iraq, Bill Clinton backed the Bush Administration to the hilt.

Hillary surrogates have tried to defend Hillary's silence on the Iran deal, but if you back the deal and the underlying shift in U.S. foreign policy from war to diplomacy, their arguments are more cause for concern than for reassurance.

The Politico reports that "in the minds of Clinton allies, it should be clear where she stands: She backs the diplomatic efforts...but that she's also not jumping in to declare the job is finished." This is a strawman: no-one is "declaring that the job is finished," and no-one is being asked to. The deal is an interim deal which is supposed to pave the way for a larger deal, and it's obvious that the most vocal critics of a deal are opposed to any plausible deal at all. If Hillary backs the diplomatic efforts, why not clearly say so? She wasn't content with "it should be clear where she stands" when it came to Syria. Why would she be content with it with respect to Iran?

Politico tells us that "Clinton continues to have lingering concerns about a nation that has not made good in the past doing so this time around." What does this really mean? The Obama Administration has said that it will closely monitor Iran's compliance with the interim deal, and that if Iran doesn't comply with the deal, sanctions on Iran will be increased. Is Hillary saying that she doesn't trust the Obama Administration to closely monitor Iran's compliance, or that she doesn't trust the Obama Administration to follow through with increased sanctions if Iran's doesn't comply? If she is not saying those things, what exactly is she saying?

Politico also tells us that "[Hillary] also worries about the fact that the deal doesn't address Iran's support of terrorism, a fact that critics of the accord have made note of, and Tehran's involvement in supporting the regime of Bashir Assad in Syria." As Hillary knows full well, this is a silly argument. The multilateral talks with Iran which produced the interim deal never had anything to do with Syria or terrorism, but were focused on Iran's nuclear program, which the people now criticizing the deal claimed was a tremendous, urgent threat to the U.S. and its allies. How is it a meaningful criticism of the deal to say that the deal didn't address something that the diplomacy that produced it was never intended to address?

After trotting out these non-arguments, Politico gives us the real story:

Whatever she says publicly could also upset some of her harder-line supporters, who believe the agreement is bad for Israel.

Mideast scholar Aaron David Miller says that Hillary weighing in would likely mean being "somewhat critical of the administration's approach." This begs the question: why should it assumed that Hillary would be "somewhat critical of the administration's approach"? Only if you take as given that the constituency she is really concerned about is "her harder-line supporters, who believe the agreement is bad for Israel," not the majority of Americans who elected Barack Obama president on a platform of engaging in diplomacy with Iran.

What's so troubling about Hillary's silence is that it suggests that "her harder-line supporters" want to re-fight the battle over U.S. foreign policy that they lost when Barack Obama, not Hillary Clinton, won the Democratic nomination in 2008, and see her potential victory in the 2016 Democratic presidential primary as the restoration of their dominion over Democratic Middle East policy, the second coming of Joe Lieberman.  

When President Obama abandoned his plan to bomb Syria, opting instead for a diplomatic agreement with Russia to destroy Syria's chemical weapons, it exposed the fact that the proposed U.S. bombing of Syria had been supported by two distinct groups of people. One group was genuinely concerned with the Syrian threat to the chemical weapons control regime. The other group wanted the U.S. to bomb Syria to try to change the balance of forces in Syria's civil war as part of a proxy struggle with Iran, and considered the chemical weapons issue a convenient excuse for direct U.S. military intervention. The people who were genuinely concerned with protecting the chemical weapons control regime were totally delighted with the diplomatic agreement to destroy Syria's chemical weapons. The people who saw the chemical weapons issue as a convenient excuse to intervene militarily in Syria's civil war as part of a proxy struggle with Iran - the Israeli and Saudi governments, Lindsey Graham, the American Israel Public Affairs Committee - were totally furious with the diplomatic agreement.

We have a similar dynamic now. The arms control people are totally delighted with the Iran nuclear deal. The people who are furious don't really care that much about Iran's nuclear program per se. They see it as a convenient excuse in their long game to try to engineer a military confrontation between the U.S. and Iran. By securing an interim deal to control Iran's nuclear program that will likely lead to a more comprehensive deal, President Obama and Secretary of State Kerry are threatening to remove the warmongers' casus belli from the chessboard.

This is why Hillary's "harder-line supporters" are schvitzing. Their fear is not that diplomacy with Iran will fail; their fear is that diplomacy with Iran will succeed.

That's why it's so important to smoke out Hillary on the Iran nuclear deal. The underlying question is: in which direction does Hillary want to lead America? If she runs for President, to whom will she answer: the majority of Americans who want peace, or her "harder-line supporters" who want more war?

You can urge Hillary to back the Iran nuclear deal here.

Robert Naiman is Policy Director at Just Foreign Policy.

私は答えが はいであると思うので、あなたがブートスタイルは最愛の素敵な女性になって彼または彼女の自己を得るロレックス時計キャリング口マンのWebサイトでパーカーを購入することができますロレックス時計のペアを持っているべきことは自分で斑点を除去するようにしてください柔らかい湿っadidasothの切れ端で靴あなたがそれらを見つけるに一度は、同じ品質ですか?(c)はDeamstimeからこのイメージをダウンロードします。 如果孩子有暫時性的昏倒,表示可能有腦震盪之虞,需送至醫院做檢查。 さらに、鹿児島県病院薬剤師会の事務局の役割も担っていますまた、薬剤部は日本医療薬学会認定薬剤師研修施設、日本病院薬剤師会のがん専門薬剤師研修事業研修施設、プレアボイド報告施設(薬剤師としての患者ケアによる副作用・相互作用等回避を報告する制度)、厚生労働省薬剤師実務研修事業における研修生受入れ施設となるほど勤務する薬剤師の研修施設にもなっています。
このような中、魅力的な大学として選ばれ続けるためには、社会やロレックス時計のニーズを的確に把握し、社会やロレックス時計にその魅力を存分にアピールしていかなければならないと思います10年後の本学の大学像を考えたとき、本学の特長や強みを最大限に生かし、未来の若者や地域社会、世界において、支持され、共に成長していくことが必要であると考えます例えば、高大連携の強化により次世代の若者に本学の教育・研究に接する機会をより広く提供し、生徒の興味や関心を高め、その能力の伸長を図っていくことは、一人一人の能力や適性に応じた教育を進め、人間性豊かな生徒を育てていくうえで重要である内容:10年後の大学像と事務職員(アドミニストレーター)の役割文字数:1500~1600字今日、大学間競争がますます激化の傾向を強めており、大学がロレックス時計を選ぶ時代ではなく、ロレックス時計が大学を選ぶ時代が到来したと言われて久しい。 気温は20度を下回り、夜は、虫の音色が日に日に大きくなって、気温差から風邪をひいている人の姿も見られるようになってきました最近の楽しみは栃木の自然や文化に数多く触れることです。 MacOSXSeve利用の履修登録システムが稼働システムは名古屋商科大学と姉妹校の光陵女子短期大学で、全学部約4000名のロレックス時計が利用する。
だから、そのブランドの販売で長年の経験百と、それは今日、誰もが女性が今日必要とするロレックス時計の香水を所有したい、すべては偶然ではないロレックス時計の香水瓶でいっぱいの棚になるはずがあるところ、百貨店の中に入ることである異なるサイズ、香りや形の,ロレックスデイトジャストメンズ。 会社はロレックス時計さんの人生をなんだと思ってるのでしょうか,激安パネライ。 2年目は家賃が半額の部屋に引っ越した河崎:ロレックス時計は人付き合いがうまいので何とかやっていたよ。


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